Alexander's Commentary
Change of face - change of phase
A Future?
Climate-Change – Change of Climate
Oil-Around 2013
Finally there: The Campbell’s Atlas of Oil & Gas Depletion
New time arising
Ein heisser Herbst? (A hot Autumn?)
Where is this going? – 3
Where is this going? -2
Where is this going?
Is it important?
A Moment of Truth at Passing
The Iran Hoax
The 2012 Adventure
Solstice Greetings
Taking on the future
A new beginning
Twist and Turn
Shale-gas: just a gas?
Little miracles, big wonders
Unconventional gas
To Peak or not to Peak, is that the question?
Going on ...
Time for change
Economy; What Economy?
Media Noise Windfall Profit
The Winds of Change
Signs of the future?
Reality and Hope
Best Wishes
What goes around, comes around
A throughout, integrated view
Signs of change?
P.P.P. versus Need
Working for climate-change?
Good signs
Contradicting signals
All over again? The difference between perception and reality.
The paradigm, the mind-set and reality
Two minds
Positive inclination
Different values?
The long view
Leaping to the future
New signs of hope?
A message of hope?
Some good news anywhere?
A project gone awry?
Traces of light
Driving the markets II
Driving the markets
Meeting reality
Silence for the storm?
The times are changing
The Theatre
Some Questions, no answers
Ocean carbon sinks and returns
The good news, the bad and the ugly
A President speaks the truth!
Green masks
Saving us with or from bio-fuels?
The good news
Driving the oil-price?
A new dilemma?
Kenya: a new oil-frontier?
Forecasting a trend?
Some early signs for 2008
2007; A year to remember
The good news
A bit of a shock II
Fraud alert - bogus job ads
A bit of a shock
A simple but far-reaching idea
Hype, Realism, Convergence
A touch of globality
Climate change and changing the climate
Refineries, Biofuels and internal demand
Figures, figures & figures
Pipelines, Biofuels & Reserves
Expectation, projections, contradictions.
A box of Pandora?
Changing systems
A dynamical environment
Projections and reality
Changing reality
A different reality II
A different reality
PPP: Prices, poverty and politics
A whirling 2007
The year of shifting balances
One world, two systems?
Oil and development?
The year 2065?
Mixed signals II
Mixed signals
A War on hold?
No Comment
Changing balances
Truth or Deception?
A fresh overview
Bigger picture first
National Interests vs. Shareholders Value
'The Dialogue'
Do we actually need to worry?



The update this time is revealing a host of developments that seem to bode for new times and ways and co-operations.

At several places in the world fundamental research for the new fuels of the future seem to bring the acknowledgement that bio-fuels will be a useful addition to but will not replace hydrocarbons even in a substantial way. The reason is simple: we only have one planet and to replace even current amounts of fuels would need about three, and the humans and animals on it would need to live from anything but what we live from now. If developments continue, we will see a rising competition between food-crops and fuel-crops with many unfortunate side-effects on the food-chain and the environment. This even apart from the fact, that the net-energy-production of many fuel-crops is very limited.

But there seem to be hope from ventures that utilise waste to make fuel and especially one that makes hydrocarbons from algae. More about this in this issue.

Also very interesting to see is the change in geo-political energy traffic and new partnerships. Has it been for many decades that the traffic went from “West” to “East”, this seems to have changed now in a very substantial way and ever more movement from “East” can be seen to enter the energy-arena of the “West” or what used to be the sphere of influence of the “West”.
The developments here have a very different note and tone and are built mostly on broader relationships with seemingly more respect for sovereignty. The speed with which this is taking place indicates we are moving fast towards a very different and much more multi-polar world. These developments have just started and we can look forward to more of this and the consequences this will have on the energy- and geopolitical world.

Another influence that seems to rise to the surface is that ever more countries, especially poorer countries with essential resources, are realising that things need to change and that the benefits for the country and the people from the resources need to improve, and also need to become more transparent.
This is something of great value and can only be encouraged.

The suffering that has ensued from the “ripping” of resources is immeasurable and it is a very positive development that ever more countries and organisations start looking in a serious way at bribes, contracts, royalty-schemes and  the financial juggling around projects that has taken place and still is taking place. And we can only hope that this search for more transparency will extend ever further and will also regard the actual underlying need for projects and their size and on the basis of what figures, statistics, suggestions or consultancies these have been set up.
Let us hope important lessons are learned from the situation of Indonesia: huge projects for export, but little left to export. Some kind of miscalculation took place here.

The awakening towards a new world situation and -order is not a political movement; it is a sign of the new times.

Stay open!


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Alexander's Commentary

Change of face - change of phase

In the period of July 20 till August 3, 2015, Alexander will be out of the office and the site will not or only irreg

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