Alexander's Commentary
Change of face - change of phase
A Future?
Climate-Change – Change of Climate
Oil-Around 2013
Finally there: The Campbell’s Atlas of Oil & Gas Depletion
New time arising
Ein heisser Herbst? (A hot Autumn?)
Where is this going? – 3
Where is this going? -2
Where is this going?
Is it important?
A Moment of Truth at Passing
The Iran Hoax
The 2012 Adventure
Solstice Greetings
Taking on the future
A new beginning
Twist and Turn
Fly-by-wire
Shale-gas: just a gas?
Little miracles, big wonders
Unconventional gas
Media-power
To Peak or not to Peak, is that the question?
Going on ...
Time for change
Economy; What Economy?
Media Noise Windfall Profit
The Winds of Change
Signs of the future?
Reality and Hope
Best Wishes
What goes around, comes around
A throughout, integrated view
Signs of change?
P.P.P. versus Need
Working for climate-change?
Good signs
Contradicting signals
All over again? The difference between perception and reality.
The paradigm, the mind-set and reality
Two minds
Positive inclination
Different values?
The long view
Leaping to the future
Contango
New signs of hope?
A message of hope?
Some good news anywhere?
A project gone awry?
Traces of light
Driving the markets II
Driving the markets
Meeting reality
Silence for the storm?
The times are changing
Refinery-runs
The Theatre
Some Questions, no answers
Ocean carbon sinks and returns
The good news, the bad and the ugly
A President speaks the truth!
Green masks
Saving us with or from bio-fuels?
The good news
Driving the oil-price?
A new dilemma?
Kenya: a new oil-frontier?
Forecasting a trend?
Some early signs for 2008
2007; A year to remember
The good news
A bit of a shock II
Fraud alert - bogus job ads
A bit of a shock
A simple but far-reaching idea
Hype, Realism, Convergence
Energy-security?
A touch of globality
Climate change and changing the climate
Refineries, Biofuels and internal demand
Figures, figures & figures
Pipelines, Biofuels & Reserves
Expectation, projections, contradictions.
Ponder
A box of Pandora?
Changing systems
A dynamical environment
Projections and reality
Changing reality
A different reality II
A different reality
PPP: Prices, poverty and politics
A whirling 2007
The year of shifting balances
One world, two systems?
Oil and development?
The year 2065?
Mixed signals II
Mixed signals
Trust
Awakening
A War on hold?
No Comment
Changing balances
Truth or Deception?
A fresh overview
Bigger picture first
National Interests vs. Shareholders Value
Fear??
'The Dialogue'
Consumption
Do we actually need to worry?
 

Fear??

2006-04-20

These days the newspapers were filled again with statements like: Out of fear of possible disruptions…. or in fear of what might happen when the US would attack Iran…. in fear for social unrest….. And what always follows is that the oilprice has risen again. Whether some possible thoughts on a war that might never happen, some social unrest that may possibly disrupt some oil or a swarm of helicopters staging an attack in a oil-less corner of a country that doesn”t produce much oil anyway at the moment; “The Market” is jittery, or nervous, or apparently fearful, but always finds again a reason to increase the oilprice.

What is this “The Market”?
Often it is spoken of as something alive, as if it has an independent life of its own. Yes, there seems to be a kind of collective intelligence, all directed to maximizing “what the market can give”. But isn”t it actually that some, possibly in the end only a few,  people find any reason, any at all it sometimes seems, to extract, or extort, more money from the world-market, in the end the normal citizens, to feed their frenzy greed to make as much money as possible?

What is the relation these days between supply and demand? Is there still one? Or is there a basic price, ever more increased by “war-premiums”, “terror-premiums” and whatever premiums that can be thought of to make digestible to the uninformed that we are living in a time of shortage and therefore a higher price is needed to supply the world-markets. It is just not anymore true these days. Speculators are determining the market and the huge amounts of money they earn are “re-invested” in speculations on the oilprice, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy of rising oilprices.

How many times a barrel of oil is sold these days before it is refined or used?

It is time we start looking for “regime-change” to find a system that is based on different principles than the principle of excessive greed that these days is almost determining the market.

Alexander

As always: responses are welcome at Alexander@gas-oil-power.com

 

Alexander's Commentary

Change of face - change of phase

In the period of July 20 till August 3, 2015, Alexander will be out of the office and the site will not or only irreg

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