Alexander's Commentary
Change of face - change of phase
A Future?
Climate-Change – Change of Climate
Oil-Around 2013
Finally there: The Campbell’s Atlas of Oil & Gas Depletion
New time arising
Ein heisser Herbst? (A hot Autumn?)
Where is this going? – 3
Where is this going? -2
Where is this going?
Is it important?
A Moment of Truth at Passing
The Iran Hoax
The 2012 Adventure
Solstice Greetings
Taking on the future
A new beginning
Twist and Turn
Shale-gas: just a gas?
Little miracles, big wonders
Unconventional gas
To Peak or not to Peak, is that the question?
Going on ...
Time for change
Economy; What Economy?
Media Noise Windfall Profit
The Winds of Change
Signs of the future?
Reality and Hope
Best Wishes
What goes around, comes around
A throughout, integrated view
Signs of change?
P.P.P. versus Need
Working for climate-change?
Good signs
Contradicting signals
All over again? The difference between perception and reality.
The paradigm, the mind-set and reality
Two minds
Positive inclination
Different values?
The long view
Leaping to the future
New signs of hope?
A message of hope?
Some good news anywhere?
A project gone awry?
Traces of light
Driving the markets II
Driving the markets
Meeting reality
Silence for the storm?
The times are changing
The Theatre
Some Questions, no answers
Ocean carbon sinks and returns
The good news, the bad and the ugly
A President speaks the truth!
Green masks
Saving us with or from bio-fuels?
The good news
Driving the oil-price?
A new dilemma?
Kenya: a new oil-frontier?
Forecasting a trend?
Some early signs for 2008
2007; A year to remember
The good news
A bit of a shock II
Fraud alert - bogus job ads
A bit of a shock
A simple but far-reaching idea
Hype, Realism, Convergence
A touch of globality
Climate change and changing the climate
Refineries, Biofuels and internal demand
Figures, figures & figures
Pipelines, Biofuels & Reserves
Expectation, projections, contradictions.
A box of Pandora?
Changing systems
A dynamical environment
Projections and reality
Changing reality
A different reality II
A different reality
PPP: Prices, poverty and politics
A whirling 2007
The year of shifting balances
One world, two systems?
Oil and development?
The year 2065?
Mixed signals II
Mixed signals
A War on hold?
No Comment
Changing balances
Truth or Deception?
A fresh overview
Bigger picture first
National Interests vs. Shareholders Value
'The Dialogue'
Do we actually need to worry?

Driving the oil-price?


In the rich collection of news and articles in this update, there was one that particularly stood out: an article from Der Spiegel on “What is really driving the oil-price?”.

The outcome of the research for the article was not new but nevertheless shocking.

There is the fact that the oil-price has doubled in a very short time, without there actually being a reason for it, based on the market-principles of supply and demand.

There is the fact that the trading volume is about 15 times the global oil consumption, meaning about 1.3 billion barrels a day. However, most of the world”s oil is sold without it being traded, fixed in long-term contracts.
This means that the oil that is being traded is changing owners many more times a day, all in the aim to drive up the price and maximize profit.

The markets have changed considerably the last years, with the entry of “Big Money” around the Millennium-change, and since then speculation and price-driving has been the order of the day. Speculators now hold up to 45 % of all oil contracts.

The reasons being given for the increases are always presented in a way that they seem natural, within worst-case and Fear & Angst scenarios, and although viewed from a distance often too silly for words, are sheepishly being copied by the news-media.

Can we say that the markets are being manipulated? Well, don”t say it too loud in a circumstance where “Free Markets” are the religion, but the short answer is “Yes, and massively so”. It ever more looks like a very sophisticated robbery that steals from the masses and the poor and gives it to the rich.

Can we do something against it? Well, as long as the speculators, the money, the media and the government of the biggest “Free Market” are all in a few hands and working closely together, it may be difficult. Unless of course the bubble of greed implodes and we can move to a more reality-based market-system.

Until that time we best use as little as possible and conserve as much as possible.

It may help.


Responses are always welcome at


Alexander's Commentary

Change of face - change of phase

In the period of July 20 till August 3, 2015, Alexander will be out of the office and the site will not or only irreg

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