Alexander's Commentary
Change of face - change of phase
A Future?
Climate-Change – Change of Climate
Oil-Around 2013
Finally there: The Campbell’s Atlas of Oil & Gas Depletion
New time arising
Ein heisser Herbst? (A hot Autumn?)
Where is this going? – 3
Where is this going? -2
Where is this going?
Is it important?
A Moment of Truth at Passing
The Iran Hoax
The 2012 Adventure
Solstice Greetings
Taking on the future
A new beginning
Twist and Turn
Shale-gas: just a gas?
Little miracles, big wonders
Unconventional gas
To Peak or not to Peak, is that the question?
Going on ...
Time for change
Economy; What Economy?
Media Noise Windfall Profit
The Winds of Change
Signs of the future?
Reality and Hope
Best Wishes
What goes around, comes around
A throughout, integrated view
Signs of change?
P.P.P. versus Need
Working for climate-change?
Good signs
Contradicting signals
All over again? The difference between perception and reality.
The paradigm, the mind-set and reality
Two minds
Positive inclination
Different values?
The long view
Leaping to the future
New signs of hope?
A message of hope?
Some good news anywhere?
A project gone awry?
Traces of light
Driving the markets II
Driving the markets
Meeting reality
Silence for the storm?
The times are changing
The Theatre
Some Questions, no answers
Ocean carbon sinks and returns
The good news, the bad and the ugly
A President speaks the truth!
Green masks
Saving us with or from bio-fuels?
The good news
Driving the oil-price?
A new dilemma?
Kenya: a new oil-frontier?
Forecasting a trend?
Some early signs for 2008
2007; A year to remember
The good news
A bit of a shock II
Fraud alert - bogus job ads
A bit of a shock
A simple but far-reaching idea
Hype, Realism, Convergence
A touch of globality
Climate change and changing the climate
Refineries, Biofuels and internal demand
Figures, figures & figures
Pipelines, Biofuels & Reserves
Expectation, projections, contradictions.
A box of Pandora?
Changing systems
A dynamical environment
Projections and reality
Changing reality
A different reality II
A different reality
PPP: Prices, poverty and politics
A whirling 2007
The year of shifting balances
One world, two systems?
Oil and development?
The year 2065?
Mixed signals II
Mixed signals
A War on hold?
No Comment
Changing balances
Truth or Deception?
A fresh overview
Bigger picture first
National Interests vs. Shareholders Value
'The Dialogue'
Do we actually need to worry?

Some good news anywhere?


In these interesting, and what will turn out to be crucial, times we see quite some contradictory signals competing for attention.

Whilst oil-prices are going down towards a projected bottom of 40 dollar, we see a relief in consumer-countries, where the energy-price-dive is graciously accepted, and partly enjoyed, whilst we see potential hardship in producing countries due to the strong reduction in revenues.

What can also be observed is that whilst energy-consumption is stable this year, or is even going down, we see an increase in reports that warn for the potentially devastating effects of irreversible decline in supply that is expected in just a few years, due to depletion overtaking new capacity building.

At the same time the noises of climatologists warning for the effects of climate-change and for the need for strong emission-reduction are becoming ever louder, whilst most countries that are talking about emission-reduction see a little bit happening at home but especially a lot everywhere else, with very few taking responsibility, especially those who, historically, have the largest responsibility.

Is there some good news to be found? Very hard, as even the bio-fuels, not long ago hyped up to save the world from the responsibility to cut consumption, turn out to be worse in over all effects as conventional fuels, as well as creating hardship for many small farmers in countries that have been “encouraged” by investors to transfer to producing biofuels instead of food for their families.

There is one good sign however, and that is that increasingly it is being seen that the current crisis, which has gone from a sub-prime crisis to a banking crisis and is now becoming a global economic crisis, is caused by a moral rot that has been allowed to spread like cancer, causing metastases in all parts of the world faster than new derivative financial instruments could be created.

It is exactly this that is now being recognised by ever more people, especially simple people on the street. In recent conversations it was this, that came up very strongly after some time; the realisation that the economic crisis is not just economic, it is a moral crisis. And it is also those people that see, whilst realising that hardship will be upon many of us before it gets better, that there will only be a sustainable solution if the underlying rotten mentalities, warped moral senses and the lying and cheating at the top of many pyramids, but not only there, is put to an end, and that simple human qualities as fairness, honesty, decency and responsibility become again part of what makes a human a human.

This is already seen by the people on the street.
Maybe it becomes time again that the people in the “centers” (political, financial, business) start to listen to the people on the street, before these people take the street?

We will see.


I welcome your response at

Alexander's Commentary

Change of face - change of phase

In the period of July 20 till August 3, 2015, Alexander will be out of the office and the site will not or only irreg

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