Alexander's Commentary
Change of face - change of phase
A Future?
Climate-Change – Change of Climate
Oil-Around 2013
Finally there: The Campbell’s Atlas of Oil & Gas Depletion
New time arising
Ein heisser Herbst? (A hot Autumn?)
Where is this going? – 3
Where is this going? -2
Where is this going?
Is it important?
A Moment of Truth at Passing
The Iran Hoax
The 2012 Adventure
Solstice Greetings
Taking on the future
A new beginning
Twist and Turn
Fly-by-wire
Shale-gas: just a gas?
Little miracles, big wonders
Unconventional gas
Media-power
To Peak or not to Peak, is that the question?
Going on ...
Time for change
Economy; What Economy?
Media Noise Windfall Profit
The Winds of Change
Signs of the future?
Reality and Hope
Best Wishes
What goes around, comes around
A throughout, integrated view
Signs of change?
P.P.P. versus Need
Working for climate-change?
Good signs
Contradicting signals
All over again? The difference between perception and reality.
The paradigm, the mind-set and reality
Two minds
Positive inclination
Different values?
The long view
Leaping to the future
Contango
New signs of hope?
A message of hope?
Some good news anywhere?
A project gone awry?
Traces of light
Driving the markets II
Driving the markets
Meeting reality
Silence for the storm?
The times are changing
Refinery-runs
The Theatre
Some Questions, no answers
Ocean carbon sinks and returns
The good news, the bad and the ugly
A President speaks the truth!
Green masks
Saving us with or from bio-fuels?
The good news
Driving the oil-price?
A new dilemma?
Kenya: a new oil-frontier?
Forecasting a trend?
Some early signs for 2008
2007; A year to remember
The good news
A bit of a shock II
Fraud alert - bogus job ads
A bit of a shock
A simple but far-reaching idea
Hype, Realism, Convergence
Energy-security?
A touch of globality
Climate change and changing the climate
Refineries, Biofuels and internal demand
Figures, figures & figures
Pipelines, Biofuels & Reserves
Expectation, projections, contradictions.
Ponder
A box of Pandora?
Changing systems
A dynamical environment
Projections and reality
Changing reality
A different reality II
A different reality
PPP: Prices, poverty and politics
A whirling 2007
The year of shifting balances
One world, two systems?
Oil and development?
The year 2065?
Mixed signals II
Mixed signals
Trust
Awakening
A War on hold?
No Comment
Changing balances
Truth or Deception?
A fresh overview
Bigger picture first
National Interests vs. Shareholders Value
Fear??
'The Dialogue'
Consumption
Do we actually need to worry?
 

A throughout, integrated view

2009-11-19

From the total confusion that seems to reign the world currently, we can say one thing for sure: old ways do not seem to work anymore.

We can see it in the way the often hollow phrases about global and economic politics recently bounced off a Great Wall of new realism. Or we can see it in the contradicting signals in the talks about economic recovery whilst unemployment and poverty is rising in hitherto rich countries. Or we can read that an economy is already coming out of recession when the things are not collapsing anymore or declining less, with the accompanying juggling of  percentages in such a way that no-one anymore can have a clear view on the reality of things.

And is Peak Oil now imminent or here now, notwithstanding the recent discoveries, or can we say that we may have a few more years before the situation becomes tight for real, measured in barrels available, not data on a screen?

We can also read about an upcoming new “scapegoat” that diverts the attention away from the real issues: based on statistics, extrapolation and percentages we are being told that we may be too many people in some years and that this will be the major issue concerning food and energy-shortage.

Fingerpointing away from oneself is always easier than realistic self-assessment.

Because if we look for example to real issues like “energy-usage per capita” or “food-usage per capita” or “energy needed for food per capita” the real issues are completely somewhere else than where the “pundits” put them, and for the largest part they end up with the still very wasteful way of living that is practiced in many rich countries, where up to 30 % or more of the food is being wasted, where many millions of computers, servers, household-machineries, air-conditioners, and billions of lights are wasting energy, and where in some hot countries it is even forbidden to dry your laundry in the sun!

From the food that is wasted by the few hundred million in the rich countries, billions of others can be fed. By just slightly adapting our way of life, hundreds of millions of barrels of oil could be saved. As long as producer-countries are still wasting, flaring off, about 2 tcm of gas per year, can we really talk about energy-shortage?

It seems that the more data we have, just for simplicity-sake, we concentrate ever more on just a few (that can then also be easily “adapted” to serve the wished-for purposes), the narrower the view becomes (and the mind-set) and the further the solutions presented seem to be away from reality.
But of course, a lot of money can be earned, others can be blamed, and things can go on as they always have gone on.

And exactly this seems to not work anymore as well as it has done for a long time. Too often the big name-pundits have been proven to talk what is expected from them, not what is the case, (or just been talking plain nonsense) and too often big-name institutes have needed to retract on what they had said or expected, clothing in nice and complicated language that actually they had been quite “off the mark”).

What is becoming clear is that we need to find integrated views, with throughout perception and analyses that include the many factors of life and living on this planet for ALL, instead of some data on a screen. But of course we need thinking, feeling, humans for that and exactly these seem in short supply.

Stay alive,

Alexander

 

Alexander's Commentary

Change of face - change of phase

In the period of July 20 till August 3, 2015, Alexander will be out of the office and the site will not or only irreg

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