The Future of Oil Exports from Russia

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Release date : November 2006
Language : English, Russian (released in October)
Volume : over 120 pages, over 80 graphs, maps and tables
Price: 1495 EURO

The impressive crude oil production growth in Russia at nearly 150 million tons per year since the start of this decade has propelled the nation to a leadership position as one of the world's preeminent producers and exporters of oil. In terms of the level of oil output (9.6 million bpd at year-end 2005), Russia is second only to Saudi Arabia (11.04 million bpd), outpacing by far other major oil producers.

The Future of Oil Exports from Russia focuses on major issues that determine Russia's current and future positions as key oil exporter:

• Export potential of Russia's petroleum industry
• Oil exports from Russia by route and transportation type
• Current status of, and trends in government regulation of oil exports
• Capability of transportation infrastructure to deliver oil to world markets and outlook for infrastructure development

CONTENTS

• 1. A REVIEW OF SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
• 1.1 Oil Production Resource Base
• 1.2 Oil Production
• 1.3 Industry Structure
• 1.4 Oil Distribution
• 2. TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
• 2.1 Pipeline Transportation: an Overview
• 2.1.1 Transneft system
• 2.1.2 Attributes of the Transneft oil pipeline system
• 2.1.3 The CPC pipeline system
• 2.1.4 Export capacity of oil pipeline infrastructure
• 2.2 Oil Transportation via Rail: an Overview
• 2.2.1 Access to railroad infrastructure
• 2.2.2 Rolling stock
• 2.3 Marine Terminals
• 2.3.1 Principal crude oil export routes via seaports
• 2.3.2 Marine terminal capacity
• 3. REGULATING EXPORTS
• 3.1 Regulatory Framework, Regulatory Authorities
• 3.2 Transportation Tariffs
• 3.2.1 Tariffs for oil transportation via Transneft
• 3.2.2 Railway tariffs
• 3.2.3 River freight tariffs
• 3.3 Export Duty
• 4. RUSSIA'S OIL EXPORTS: PRIMARY ROUTES AND TRANSPORTATION MODES
• 4.1 Export Statistics
• 4.2 Russian Crude Exports via Pipeline
• 4.2.1 Black Sea route
• 4.2.2 Central European export route (the Druzhba oil pipeline)
• 4.2.3 Northwestern (Baltic) export route
• 4.3 Oil exports bypassing the Transneft system
• 4.4 Oil Exports by Rail
• 4.4.1 Railroad transportation arrangements
• 4.4.2 Rail export routes
• 4.5 Crude Exports by River
• 4.6 Transportation Costs by Mode of Transportation
• 5. THE RUSSIAN OIL INDUSTRY'S EXPORT POTENTIAL
• 5.1 Oil Production Forecast: 2006 through 2015
• 5.2 Oil Refining
• 5.3 Export Potential
• 5.4 Transportation Capabilities
• 6. EXPANDING TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
• 6.1 Projects to Expand Existing Pipelines
• 6.1.1 Baltic Pipeline System 74
• 6.1.2. Caspian Pipeline Consortium 67
• 6.2 New Pipeline Projects
• 6.2.1 Eastern Siberia Pacific Ocean oil pipeline
• 6.2.2 Kharyaga Indiga
• 6.3 Projects to Develop Port Infrastructure
• 6.3.1 Novorossiysk
• 6.3.2 Tuapse
• 6.3.3 Varandei
• 6.4 Projects to Expand Railroad Infrastructure
• 6.5 Projects on Foreign Soil to Expand Russian Export
• 6.5.1 Burgas Alexandroupolis
• 6.5.2 Samsun Ceyhan

Figures

• Figure I.1 Forecast of oil production in Russia through 2015
• Figure I.2 Forecast of Russia's export capacity thorugh 2015
• Figure I.3 Oil exports from domestic and foreign ports, 2001 2005
• Figure I.4 Crude oil exports by rail
• Figure I.5 Crude oil exports to China
• Figure I.6 Oil consumption worldwide and in the Asia Pacific Region
• Figure 1.1 Distribution of explored resources (ABC1) by region
• Figure 1.2 Russia's oil and gas provinces
• Figure 1.3 Yearly percentage changes in oil production, 1992 2005
• Figure 1.4 Oil production in Russia by company in 2000, MMt (%)
• Figure 1.5 Oil production in Russia by company in 2005, MMt (%)
• Figure 1.6 Price of refined products vs. crude exports, Nizhnevartovsk metering station
• Figure 2.1 Transneft pipeline and railway infrastructure in Russia
• Figure 2.2 Caspian pipeline system and rail service
• Figure 2.3 Distribution of crude oil exports from Russia via pipeline in 2005
• Figure 2.4 Oil deliveries by railroad in 2005, MMt
• Figure 2.5 Changes in ownership of tank cars, 1997 2005
• Figure 2.6 Largest independent owners of tank cars in mid 2005
• Figure 2.7 Russian Railways and private tank cars used for oil export
• Figure 2.8 Crude exports via seaports during 2005, as percentage
• Figure 2.9 Russian crude exports via Baltic ports, 2005
• Figure 2.10 Russian crude exports via Black Sea ports, 2005
• Figure 4.1 Transit of CIS crude through Russia
• Figure 4.2 Black Sea ports, transportation routes and related infrastructure
• Figure 4.3 Transshipment of oil through Novorossiysk
• Figure 4.4 Crude exports via Novorossiysk, 2005
• Figure 4.6 Crude exports via Novorossiysk, Tuapse and Odessa by company, 2005
• Figure 4.5 Crude exports via Tuapse
• Figure 4.7 Crude exports via Odessa
• Figure 4.8 Crude exports via Yuzhny
• Figure 4.9 Crude exports via Yuzhnaya Ozereyevka (CPC)
• Figure 4.10 Druzhba II and Druzhba I oil pipelines and related infrastructure
• Figure 4.11 Crude exports via the Druzhba II oil pipeline
• Figure 4.12 Crude deliveries to Mazeikiu Refinery and Butinge
• Figure 4.13 Crude oil deliveries to Mazeikiu Refinery and Butinge, 2005
• Figure 4.14 Baltic Pipeline System and related infrastructure
• Figure 4.15 Crude exports via the Baltic Pipeline System, 2001 2006
• Figure 4.16 Crude exports via BPS by company in 2005, MMt
• Figure 4.17 Crude exports via local port terminals
• Figure 4.18 Crude exports from Sakhalin
• Figure 4.19 Crude exports by rail
• Figure 4.20 Crude shipments by rail from Transneft racks
• Figure 4.21 Crude exports to China
• Figure 4.22 Crude exports by river
• Figure 5.1 Forecast of oil production in Russia through 2015
• Figure 5.2 Forecast of oil refining in Russia through 2015
• Figure 5.3 Forecast of Russia's export potential through 2015
• Figure 6.1 Oil consumption worldwide and in the Asia Pacific Region
• Figure 6.2 Forecast of demand for oil worldwide thorugh 2030
• Figure 6.3 East Siberia Pacific Ocean pipeline route
• Figure 6.4 Eastern Siberian oil production slated for the ESPO pipeline through 2015
• Figure 6.5 Transportation costs: Western Siberia to the Pacific Ocean, various routes, $/t
• Figure 6.6 Renovation of pipeline infrastructure west of Taishet
• Figure 6.7 Kharyaga Indiga oil pipeline
• Figure 6.8 Varandei terminal and related infrastructure
• Figure 6.9 Oil pipelines bypassing the Bosporus
• Figure A.1 Oil terminals, pipelines and rails serving the Russian sector of the Black Sea
• Figure A.2 Port Kavkaz and rails serving the Black Sea
• Figure A.3 Terminals, pipelines and rails serving Kaliningrad Region
• Figure A.4 Oil terminals, pipelines and rails serving northwestern Russia and the Baltic States
• Figure A.5 Oil terminals, pipelines and rails serving the Arctic route
• Figure A.6 Terminals and pipelines serving the Far East
• Figure A.7 Terminals, pipelines and rails serving the Russian sector of the Caspian Sea

Tables

• Table 1.1 Oil production, 2000 2006, MMt
• Table 1.2 Sources and uses of crude oil, 2000 2006, MMt
• Table 2.1 Crude oil exports from Russia via pipeline, MMt
• Table 2.2 Export pipelines to distant countries and the Baltics, MMt
• Table 2.3 Oil loading rail racks belonging to Transneft
• Table 2.4 Privately owned oil racks (excluding refineries)
• Table 2.5 Seaports exporting Russian crude
• Table 3.1 Oil production and export via the Transneft system, 2005
• Table 3.2 Transneft tariffs as of January 1, 2006
• Table 3.3 Calculation of export duty per ton of oil
• Table 4.1 Russian crude oil exports, 2005 and 2004, MMt
• Table 4.2 Oil pipelines serving Black Sea port terminals
• Table 4.3 Crude exports via Black Sea ports
• Table 4.4 Crude exports via the Druzhba pipeline in 2005, MMt
• Table 4.5 Crude exports via northwestern transshipment facilities, Mt
• Table 4.6 Crude shipments exported by rail via Russian and foreign ports, MMt
• Table 4.7 Transportation costs by pipeline from Nizhnevartovsk and Samara to border crossings and seaports, July 2006
• Table 4.8 Transportation costs by rail on key export route, Russian Railways
• Table 5.1 Production consumption of petroleum products, 2001 2005, MMt
• Table 5.2 Russia's exports of refined petroleum products, MMt
• Table 6.1 Oil pumping quotas of CPC shareholders, MMt
• Table 6.2 Specifications of the ESPO oil pipeline
• Table 6.3 Resource base for the first stage of the ESPO
• Table 6.4 Basic characteristics of the bypass pipelines
• Table A.1 Technical specifications of terminals in Muuga

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