Why is Afghanistan strategically so important to the West?
by John Foster, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives
Why is Afghanistan so important?
A glance at a map and a little knowledge of the region suggest that the real reasons for Western military involvement
may be largely hidden. Afghanistan is adjacent to Middle Eastern countries that are rich in oil and natural gas. And
though Afghanistan may have little petroleum itself, it borders both Iran and Turkmenistan, countries with the second
and third largest natural gas reserves in the world. (Russia is first.)
Turkmenistan is the country nobody talks about. Its huge reserves of natural gas can only get to market through
pipelines. Until 1991, it was part of the Soviet Union and its gas flowed only north through Soviet pipelines. Now
the Russians plan a new pipeline north. The Chinese are building a new pipeline east. The US is pushing for "multiple
oil and gas export routes." High-level Russian, Chinese and American delegations visit Turkmenistan frequently to
discuss energy. The USeven has a special envoy for Eurasian energy diplomacy.
Rivalry for pipeline routes and energy resources reflects competition for power and control in the region. Pipelines
are important today in the same way that railway building was important in the 19th century. They connect trading
partners and influence the regional balance of power. Afghanistan is a strategic piece of real estate in the
geopolitical struggle for power and dominance in the region.
Since the 1990s, Washington has promoted a natural gas pipeline south through Afghanistan. The route would pass
through Kandahar province. In 2007, Richard Boucher, US assistant secretary of state, said: "One of our goals is to
stabilize Afghanistan," and to link South and Central Asia "so that energy can flow to the south." Oil and gas have
motivated US involvement in the Middle East for decades. Unwittingly or willingly, Canadian Forces are supporting
American goals.
The proposed pipeline is called TAPI, after the initials of the four participating countries (Turkmenistan,
Afghanistan, Pakistan and India). Eleven high-level planning meetings have been held during the past seven years,
with Asian Development Bank sponsorship and multilateral support (including Canada's). Construction is planned to
start next year.
The pipeline project was documented at three donor conferences on Afghanistan in the past three years and is
referenced in the 2008 Afghan Development Plan. Canada was represented at these conferences at the ministerial level.
Thus, our leaders must know. Yet they avoid discussion of the planned pipeline through Afghanistan.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper says he "will withdraw the bulk of the military forces" in 2011. The remaining troops
will focus mostly on "reconstruction and development." Does that include the pipeline?
Pipeline rivalry is slightly more visible in Europe. Ukraine is the main gateway for gas from Russia to Europe. The
United States has pushed for alternate pipelines and encouraged European countries to diversify their sources of
supply. Recently built pipelines for oil and gas originate in Azerbaijan and extend through Georgia to Turkey. They
are the jewels in the crown of US strategy to bypass Russia and Iran.
The rivalry continues with plans for new gas pipelines to Europe from Russia and the Caspian region. The Russians
plan South Stream -- a pipeline under the Black Sea to Bulgaria. The European Union and US are backing a pipeline
called Nabucco that would supply gas to Europe via Turkey. Nabucco would get some gas from Azerbaijan, but that
country doesn't have enough.
Additional supply could come from Turkmenistan, but Russia is blocking a link across the Caspian Sea. Iran offers
another source, but the US is blocking the use of Iranian gas.
Meanwhile, Iran is planning a pipeline to deliver gas east to Pakistan and India. Pakistan has agreed in principle,
but India has yet to do so. It's an alternative to the long-planned, US-supported pipeline from Turkmenistan through
Afghanistan to Pakistan and India.
A very big game is underway, with geopolitics intruding everywhere. US journalist Steven LeVine describes American
policy in the region as "pipeline-driven." Other countries are pushing for pipeline routes, too. The energy game
remains largely hidden; the focus is on humanitarian, development and national security concerns. In Canada,
Afghanistan has been avoided in the past two elections.
With the US surge underway and the British ambassador to Washington predicting a decades-long commitment, it's
reasonable to ask: Why are the US and NATO in Afghanistan? Could the motivation be power, a permanent military
bridgehead, access to energy resources?
Militarizing energy has a high price in dollars, lives and morality. There are long-term consequences for everyone.
John Foster is an energy economist and author of "A Pipeline Through A Troubled Land -- Afghanistan, Canada, and the New Great Energy Game," published by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives.
