India's coal reserves to run out in 45 years

Debunking a myth that India had usable coal reserves that would last 200 years, a report from a non-government energy think tank says the country is likely to run out of usable coal reserves in about 45 years.
Pointing out that the government itself has downgraded its estimation of useful coal resources to about four decades, the report on India's energy security from The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), New Delhi, stresses the need for new policy initiatives on renewable energy.

''It's a myth that India has a virtually unlimited supply of coal,'' said Rajendra Pachauri, director-general of TERI. ''Much of our coal is so deep that it cannot be mined. We have been fed exaggerated figures.''
So far, estimates from geological studies have suggested that India had about 267 bn tons of coal, including 105 bn tons of proven reserves. Such estimates gave rise to expectations that reserves would last for more than a century, if not double that.

The issue assumes importance as currently this fossil fuel provides about 60 % of the country's total energy requirements.
According to the report, the country's import of coal is likely to rise in the coming years, touching about 1,300 mm tpy by 2030, if initiatives are not launched to reduce the country's dependence on coal. It suggests import levels could be restricted to 200 mm tpy if initiatives on renewable energy are launched in time.

The report calls for aggressive promotion of solar lanterns to replace traditional kerosene lamps in villages, solar rooftop generators to replace diesel generators in India's cities, and decentralised community solar stations. The Indian government had earlier this year announced a plan to add 20,000 MW of solar capacity by 2020, but the report cautions that this ''may not serve India's needs''.
India's energy shortages, estimated to be about 10 % during 2007-08, are expected to rise rapidly as capacity addition fails to meet demand increase.